Description

Snoeker et al reported a clinical prediction rule for the diagnosis of a meniscal tear in an adult. The authors are from the University of Amsterdam.


Patient selection: adult from 18 to 65 years of age with knee complain

 

Parameters:

(1) sex

(2) age in years

(3) weight-bearing

(4) performance sport (soccer, rugby, etc)

(5) effusion

(6) warmth

(7) discolouration (red, blue)

(8) deep squat test

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

sex

female

0

 

male

84

age in years

18 to 28

0

 

29 to 38

30

 

39 to 48

60

 

49 to 58

90

 

59 to 65

108

weight-bearing

no

0

 

yes

49

performance sport

no

0

 

yes

15

effusion

no

0

 

yes

60

warmth

no

0

 

yes

4

discolouration

no

0

 

yes

30

deep squat test

negative

0

 

positive

3

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 8 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 353

 

Total Score

Probability of Meniscal Tear

< 15

< 10%

15 to 310

(0.00035172 * ((score)^2)) + (0.13516 * (score)) + 5.9432

> 310

> 79%

 

X =

= (0.012 * (score)) - 2.5

 

probability of meniscal tear =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X)

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.76.

 


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