Description

Nye et al reported a clinical prediction rule for identifying bone stress injury in a lower extremity. The authors are from Fort Belvoir Community Hospital, Travis Air Force Base, JBSA-Lackland, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences and the Orthopaedic Center (Rockville).


Parameters:

(1) history of stress fracture

(2) history of pes cavus

(3) increased volume of walking/running

(4) focal bony tenderness

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

history of stress fracture

no

0

 

yes

2

history of pes cavus

no

0

 

yes

2

increased volume of walking or running

no

0

 

yes

1

focal bony tenderness

no

0

 

yes

3

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 4 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

minimum score: 0

maximum score: 8

A score >= 3 is 97.5% sensitive and 54.2% specific for a bone stress injury, with a negative predictive value of 98.2%.

Focal bony tenderness alone shows comparable performance.

 

Low risk foci:

(1) tibial plateau

(2) posteromedial tibial shaft

(3) fibular

(4) second, third or fourth metatarsal shaft

(5) calcaneus

 

High risk foci:

(1) anterior cortex tibia

(2) medial malleolus

(3) navicular

(4) talus

(5) proximal second metatarsal bone

(6) proximal fifth metatarsal bone

(7) patella

(8) great toe sesamoids


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