Description

Nijman et al reported clinical findings associated with serious bacterial infections (SBI) in febrile children. These can help to identify a child who may require more aggressive management. The authors are from Erasmus Medical Center and Sophia's Children's Hospital, Oxford University and Haga-Juliana Children’s Hospital at the Hague.


Patient selection: febrile child or adolescent from 1 month to 15 years

 

Predictors of pneumonia:

(1) tachypnea

(2) oxygen saturation < 94%

(3) elevated serum CRP

 

Predictors of other SBIs (sepsis, meningitis, UTIs):

(1) elevated serum CRP

 

Exclusion of other SBIs (favor pneumonia):

(1) chest wall retactions

(2) oxygen saturation < 94%

 

Parameter

Finding

Points for Pneumonia

age in years

<= 1 year

(1.02 * (age)) + (0.01 * (age))

 

> 1 year

(0.01 * ((age) - 1) + 1.02

sex

female

0.13

 

male

0

temperature °C

 

0.29 * (temperature)

fever duration in days

 

0.21 * (days)

tachypnea

no

0

 

yes

0.44

tachycardia

no

0

 

yes

-0.04

oxygen saturation

>= 94%

0

 

< 94%

1.59

capillary refill

<= 3 seconds

0

 

> 3 seconds

-0.18

chest wall retractions

no

0

 

yes

0.47

ill-appearing

no

0

 

yes

0.16

serum CRP in mg/L

 

0.64 * LN(CRP)

 

value of X for pneumonia =

= SUM(points) - 17.9

 

 

Parameter

Finding

Points for Pneumonia

age in years

<= 1 year

(-1.73 * (age)) + (0.11 * (age))

 

> 1 year

(0.11 * ((age) - 1) - 1.73

sex

female

0.7

 

male

0

temperature °C

 

-0.02 * (temperature)

fever duration in days

 

-0.03 * (days)

tachypnea

no

0

 

yes

-0.11

tachycardia

no

0

 

yes

-0.02

oxygen saturation

>= 94%

0

 

< 94%

-3.29

capillary refill

<= 3 seconds

0

 

> 3 seconds

0.3

chest wall retractions

no

0

 

yes

-3.78

ill-appearing

no

0

 

yes

0.27

serum CRP in mg/L

 

1.14 * LN(CRP)

 

value of Y for other SBI =

= SUM(points) - 4.7

 

risk of pneumonia =

= EXP(X) / (1 + EXP(X) + EXP(Y))

 

risk of other SBI =

= EXP(Y) / (1 + EXP(X) + EXP(Y)))


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