Description

El Solh et al identified risk factors for antibiotic resistant bacteria causing severe pneumonia in elderly institutionalized patients. They developed a classification tree to identify patients who should be suspected of having resistant organisms. The authors are from the University of Buffalo.


Patient selection: severe pneumonia in an elderly patient in a nursing home or other institution

 

Parameters:

(1) history of recent antibiotic therapy

(2) activities of daily living (ADL) as a measure of disability

 

Activities of daily living:

(1) transfer

(2) feeding

(3) bathing

(4) dressing

(5) toileting

(6) continence (fecal and/or urine)

 

ADL Level

Points

fully independent

1

partially dependent

2

completely dependent

3

 

total ADL score =

= SUM(points for all 6 ADL)

 

minimum total ADL score = 6 = fully independent

maximum total ADL score = 18 = bedridden and fully dependent

 

Recent Antibiotic Therapy

Total ADL Score

Probability of Antibiotic Resistance

none

< 12.5

0%

none

>= 12.5

17%

present

< 12.5

42%

present

>= 12.5

90%

from Figure 1, page 478

 

where:

• Since the ADL results are in whole numbers, I am not quite sure how a score of 12.5 can be achieved.

• The probability for antibiotic resistance in another institution might be different, although the relative ranking would be preserved.


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