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Description

Tay et al developed a score for identifying a patient at risk for recurrence of lower limb cellulitis. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from the National Skin Centre and Singapore General Hospital in Singapore.


Patient selection: lower limb cellulitis

 

Parameters:

(1) chronic venous insufficiency

(2) ipsilateral deep vein thrombosis

(3) lymphedema

(4) peripheral vascular disease

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

chronic venous insufficiency

absent

0

 

present

1

ipsilateral deep vein thrombosis

absent

0

 

present

1

lymphedema

absent

0

 

present

2

peripheral vascular disease

absent

0

 

present

3

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 4 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 7

• The higher the score the greater the risk of recurrence.

 

Score

Risk of Recurrence

Percent with Recurrence

0

low

22%

1

moderate

56%

2

high

76%

3 to 7

very high

90%

 

Performance"

• A score >= 2 had a positive predictive value of 84% and negative predictive value of 68%.


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