Description

Mungroop et al reported the alternative fistula score (a-FRS) for the risk of fistula following pancreatoduodenectomy. This can help to identify a patient who is at higher risk for the complication. The authors are from multiple institutions in The Netherlands.


Patient selection: status post pancreatoduodenectomy

 

Parameters:

(1) texture of the pancreas

(2) pancreatic duct diameter in mm, truncated at 5

(3) body mass index (BMI) in kg per square meter

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

texture

soft

0.947

 

not soft

0

pancreatic duct diameter

< 5

-0.385*(duct)

 

>= 5

-1.925

BMI

 

0.0679*(BMI)

 

X =

= SUM(points for all 3 parameters) - 3.136

 

probability of fistula formation =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.75.


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