Description

Nikolsky et al developed a prognostic score for predicting major bleeding in a patient undergoing a percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) using the femoral approach. This can help identify a patient who may require aggressive management. The authors are from Columbia University, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and the Cleveland Clinic.


 

Criteria for major bleed - any of the following:

(1) intracranial

(2) intraocular

(3) retroperitoneal

(4) overt blood loss with hemoglobin drop > 3 g/dL

(5) need to transfusion 2 or more units of packed RBCs

(6) any decrease in hemoglobin > 4 g/dL

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) gender

(3) use of Glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors

(4) use of low molecular weight heparin in the 48 hours prior to PCI

(5) hematocrit (as a measure of anemia)

(6) estimated GFR based on serum creatinine

(7) use of an intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP)

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

<= 55

0

 

> 55

see below

gender

male

0

 

female

3

use of Glycoprotein inhibitors

no

0

 

yes

3

low molecular weight heparin

no

0

 

yes

2

hematocrit

male and hematocrit >= 39%

0

 

male and hematocrit < 39%

2

 

female and hematocrit >= 37%

0

 

female and hematocrit < 37%

2

estimated GFR

>= 60 mL per min per 1.73 square meter BSA

0

 

< 60 mL per min per 1.73 square meter BSA

2

use of an IABP

no

0

 

yes

5

 

One approach to assign points for age is to give 3 points for 56 to 65 years, 6 for 66 to 75, 9 for 76 to 85, 12 for 86 to 95, 15 for 96 to 105, and 18 for 106 to 115.

 

An alternative method is:

 

points for age =

= MAX(0, 0.3 * ((age in years) - 55))

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 7 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 29+ (depends on age)

• The higher the score the greater the risk of a major bleed.

 

Total Score

Risk for a Major Bleed

0

1%

2 to 6

1.5%

7 to 9

2.6%

10 or more

5.4%

 


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