Description

Begaud et al described a system in France for determining if a drug could be implicated as the cause for an adverse event in a patient based on clinical and temporal findings.


Elements to the evaluation:

(1) chronological imputation

(2) semeiological (symptomatologic) imputation

(3) intrinsic imputability based on the chronological and semeiological findings

 

Challenge

Dechallenge

Rechallenge

Chronology

very suggestive

suggestive

positive

C3 (suggestive)

very suggestive

suggestive

not done

C3 (suggestive)

very suggestive

suggestive

negative

C1 (dubious)

very suggestive

inconclusive

positive

C3 (suggestive)

very suggestive

inconclusive

not done

C2 (possible)

very suggestive

inconclusive

negative

C1 (dubious)

very suggestive

unsuggestive

positive

C1 (dubious)

very suggestive

unsuggestive

not done

C1 (dubious)

very suggestive

unsuggestive

negative

C1 (dubious)

compatible

suggestive

positive

C3 (suggestive)

compatible

suggestive

not done

C2 (possible)

compatible

suggestive

negative

C1 (dubious)

compatible

inconclusive

positive

C3 (suggestive)

compatible

inconclusive

not done

C1 (dubious)

compatible

inconclusive

negative

C1 (dubious)

compatible

unsuggestive

positive

C1 (dubious)

compatible

unsuggestive

not done

C1 (dubious)

compatible

unsuggestive

negative

C1 (dubious)

incompatible

suggestive

positive

C0 (incompatible)

incompatible

inconclusive

not done

C0 (incompatible)

incompatible

unsuggestive

negative

C0 (incompatible)

 

where:

• Suggestive dechallenge: event regressions seems linked to drug withdrawal

• Inconclusive dechallenge: (a) event regression spontaneous; (b) event regression induced by non-specific treatment known to be effective; (c) unknown evolution; (d) follow-up to short; (e) irreversible lesion; (f) drug not withdrawn

• Unsuggestive dechallenge: no regression of reversible event, or complete regression without drug withdrawal

 

Alternative Non-drug Related Explanation

Symptomatology or Other Factor Favoring Drug

Findings of a Reliable and Specific Test

Semeiological Criteria

none

present

positive

S3 (suggestive)

none

present

not done or not available

S3 (suggestive)

none

present

negative

S1 (dubious)

none

absent

positive

S3 (suggestive)

none

absent

not done or not available

S2 (possible)

none

absent

negative

S1 (dubious)

possible or present

present

positive

S3 (suggestive)

possible or present

present

not done or not available

S2 (possible)

possible or present

present

negative

S1 (dubious)

possible or present

absent

positive

S3 (suggestive)

possible or present

absent

not done or not available

S1 (dubious)

possible or present

absent

negative

S1 (dubious)

 

 

Chronology

Semeiology

Interpretation

C0

S1

unlikely (appears excluded)

C0

S2

unlikely (appears excluded)

C0

S3

unlikely (appears excluded)

C1

S1

dubious

C1

S2

dubious

C1

S3

possible

C2

S1

dubious

C2

S2

possible

C2

S3

likely

C3

S1

likely

C3

S2

likely

C3

S3

very likely

 


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