Liano et al developed an equation for predicting mortality in a patient with acute tubular necrosis. This can help identify a patient who may need more aggressive therapy or who may considered for novel therapies. The authors are from Hospital Ramon y Cajal in Madrid, Spain.
Parameters (most parameters reflect an organ system failure):
(1) age, in decades
(2) sex
(3) nephrotoxic
(4) oliguria (I assume this also would include anuria)
(5) hypotension
(6) jaundice
(7) coma
(8) consciousness
(9) assisted respiration
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
---|---|---|
age |
|
=ROUND(B8/10,0) |
sex |
male |
1 |
|
female |
0 |
nephrotoxic |
exposure to nephrotoxin |
1 |
|
not exposed to nephrotoxin |
0 |
oliguria |
present |
1 |
|
absent |
0 |
hypotension |
systolic blood pressure < 100 mm Hg for > 10 hours regardless of vasoactive medication use |
1 |
|
not hypotensive |
0 |
jaundice |
serum bilirubin > 2 mg/dL |
1 |
|
serum bilirubin <= 2 mg/dL |
0 |
coma |
present (Glasgow coma scale < 5) |
1 |
|
absent |
0 |
consciousness |
normal consciousness |
1 |
|
altered consciousness |
0 |
assisted respiration |
on mechanical support |
1 |
|
not on mechanical support |
0 |
probability of mortality =
= (0.032 * (points for age in decades)) – (0.086 * (points for sex)) – (0.109 * (points for nephrotoxic)) + (0.109 * (points for oliguria)) + (0.116 * (points for hypotension)) + (0.122 * (points for jaundice)) + (0.150 * (points for coma)) – (0.154 * (points for consciousness)) + (0.182 * (points for assisted respiration)) + 0.21
NOTE: In the example on page 546, the patient is listed as oliguric, yet the score reflects absent oliguria (normal urine output). The predicted mortality should be 0.312 rather than 0.203.
Purpose: To predict survival in a patient with acute tubular necrosis using the ATN-ISI index of Liano et al.
Specialty: Nephrology, Clinical Laboratory
Objective: risk factors, severity, prognosis, stage
ICD-10: N17,