Description

Lee et al identified risk factors for adult respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in a patient with bleeding esophageal varices. ARDS may necessitate an ICU admission and increases the risk of mortality. The authors are from Royal Prince Alfred Hospital in Sydney, Australia.


 

Patient selection: patient with bleeding esophageal varices (presumably with cirrhosis)

 

Risk factors for ARDS:

(1) sepsis

(2) need for 2 or more sclerotherapy sessions to control bleeding

(3) hypoalbuminemia (<= 2.5 g/dL used in implementation, see Table 3)

(4) use of balloon tamponade

Parameter

Finding

Points

sepsis

absent

0

 

present

1

number of endoscopic treatments needed to control bleeding

0 or 1

0

 

2 or more

1

serum albumin

> 2.5 g/dL

0

 

<= 2.5 g/dL

1

balloon tamponade

no

0

 

yes

1

 

where:

• The need for multiple endoscopies to control bleeding and/or use of balloon tamponade suggests more severe bleeding. A patient may have repeat endoscopies to check for rebleeding but only active treatments should be counted.

• The coefficients for the logistic regression equation are given in Table 4 but not the constant.

 

total number of risk factors =

= SUM(points for all 4 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum number of risk factors: 0

• maximum number of risk factors: 4

• The risk of ARDS increases with the number of risk factors present.

 


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