Description

Straus et al identified prognostic factors associated with poor outcome in patients with advanced Hodgkin's disease. This can help identify patients who may require more aggressive therapy. The authors are from Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center in New York City.


 

Parameters for overall survival:

(1) age

(2) hematocrit (anemia)

(3) involvement of inguinal lymph nodes

(4) serum LDH

(5) mediastinal mass

 

Parameters for rate of disease progression: all 5 of the above plus

(6) bone marrow involvement

Parameter

Finding

Points

age

<= 45 years of age

0

 

> 45 years of age

1

hematocrit (page 1176)

male gender and hematocrit >= 38%

0

 

male gender and hematocrit < 38%

1

 

female gender and hematocrit >= 34%

0

 

female gender and hematocrit < 34%

1

inguinal lymph node involvement

absent

0

 

present

1

serum LDH

<= 400 U/L

0

 

> 400 U/L

1

mediastinal mass

absent

0

 

diameter <= 0.45 of thoracic diameter

0

 

diameter > 0.45 of thoracic diameter

1

bone marrow involvement

absent

0

 

present

1

 

score for overall survival =

= SUM(points for the first 5 parameters)

 

score for rate of disease progression =

= SUM(points for all 6 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum scores: 0

• maximum score for overall survival: 5

• maximum score for rate of disease progression: 6

 

Overall Survival Score

Prognostic Group

Therapy Failure

Survival

0 or 1

low risk

unlikely

> 95% long term

>= 2

high risk

more likely

median 62.4 months

 

Limitations:

• The method and reference range for LDH was not given.

 


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