Description

Hummel et al developed the Heart Failure Patient Severity Index (HFPSI) to stratify patients with heart failure according to risk. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from the University of Michigan and the Ann Arbor Veterans Affairs Medical Center.


 

Patient selection: heart failure

 

Outcome: 6-month risk of death and/or medical hospitalization

 

Parameters:

(1) BUN in mg/dL

(2) serum BNP in pg/mL

(3) diabetes mellitus

(4) atrial fibrillation or flutter

(5) NYHA class

(6) prior hospitalization (all cause)

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

BUN

<= 20 mg/dL

0

 

21 to 34

1

 

35 to 50

2

 

>= 51

3

BNP

<= 55 pg/mL

0

 

56 to 148

2

 

149 to 403

3

 

> 403 pg/mL

5

diabetes mellitus

absent

0

 

present

1

atrial fibrillation or flutter

absent

0

 

present

1

NYHA class

1 or 2

0

 

3

1

 

4

2

prior hospitalization

within past month

5

 

from 2-6 months ago

2

 

other

0

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 6 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 17

• The higher the score the greater the risk.

 

Total Score

Group

Risk

0 to 3

1

low

4 to 6

2

low to moderate

7 to 9

3

moderate

10 to 17

4

high

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve was around 0.70.

 


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