Description

Ramanan et al reported a risk calculator for mortality after bariatric surgery. The authors are from Creighton University and VA Nebraska and Western Iowa Health Care System.


 

NOTE: A risk calculator for morbidity is reported in 12.10.15.

 

Outcome: 30-day mortality following bariatric surgery

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) body mass index (BMI)

(3) dyspnea

(4) chronic corticosteroid use

(5) history of peripheral vascular disease (PVD) requiring revascularization or amputation

(6) history of previous percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI)

(7) type of bariatric surgery

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

 

0.04 * (age)

BMI

< 45 kg per square meter

-1.99

 

45 to 60 kg per square meter

-0.64

 

> 60 kg per square meter

0

dyspnea

none

-1.98

 

after moderate exertion

-1.14

 

at rest

0

chronic corticosteroids

no

-1.98

 

yes

0

history PVD

no

-2.50

 

yes

0

previous PCI

no

-1.44

 

yes

0

type of surgery

biliopancreatic diversion with duodenal switch

0

 

LRYGB (laparoscopic Roux en-Y gastric bypass(

-1.08

 

LAGB (laparoscopic adjustable gastric banding)

-2.49

 

ORYGB (open Roux en-Y gastric bypass)

-0.53

 

VBG (vertical banded gastroplasty)

0.35

 

other gastoplasty

-1.35

 

X =

= SUM(points for all 7 parameters) + 0.77

 

probability of 30-day mortality =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 


To read more or access our algorithms and calculators, please log in or register.