Description

Bang et al developed a simple model for identifying a patient at risk for chronic renal disease. This can help identify a patient who may benefit from closer monitoring of renal function. The authors are from Weill Medical College of Cornell University and the University of North Carolina in Chapel Hill.


NOTE: The acronym SCORED comes from screening (SC), occult (O), renal (RE) and disease (D).

 

Patient selection: adult >= 50 years of age

 

Endpoint: creatinine clearance < 60 mL per min per 1.73 square meters BSA

 

Parameters:

(1) age of the patient in years

(2) gender

(3) anemia

(4) hypertension

(5) diabetes

(6) history of cardiovascular disease

(7) history of congestive heart disease

(8) peripheral vascular disease

(9) proteinuria on a urine dipstick

 

Parameter

Finding

Points for Simple Score

Points for Logistic Model

age of the patient in years

50 - 59 years of age

2

1.55

 

60 - 69 years of age

3

2.31

 

>= 70 years of age

4

3.23

gender

male

0

0

 

female

1

0.29

anemia

absent

0

0

 

present

1

0.93

hypertension

absent

0

0

 

present

1

0.45

diabetes

absent

0

0

 

present

1

0.44

history of cardiovascular disease

absent

0

0

 

present

1

0.59

history of CHF

absent

0

0

 

present

1

0.45

peripheral vascular disease

absent

0

0

 

present

1

0.74

proteinuria

absent

0

0

 

present

1

0.83

 

where:

• Proteinuria did not have a threshhold level.

 

simple score =

= SUM(points for all 9 parameters)

 

value of X for logistic regression model =

= SUM(points for all 9 parameters) - 5.4

 

probability of chronic kidney disease =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 

Interpretation:

• minimum simple score: 2

• maximum simple score 12

• A patient with a simple score >= 4 should have serum creatinine measured and the estimated creatinine clearance calculated.

• A simple score >= 4 can be seen in someone 50-59 years of age with 2 risk factors.

 

Performance:

• With a cutoff of >= 4 the sensitivity was 92% and specificity 68%.


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