Description

Patients at risk for developing postherpetic neuralgia following acute herpes zoster can be identified by the presence of acute pain and the results of a simple prognostic score.


The first step in the evaluation is to determine if the patient developed acute pain at the first visit in association with the zoster

• If acute pain is absent at the first visit, then the risk of postherpetic neuralgia is rare.

• If acute pain is present, then a prognostic score using 6 parameters can be used to identify those at risk.

 

Parameters associated with postherpetic neuralgia in those with acute pain, using  multivariate analysis:

(1) gender

(2) age

(3) number of lesions

(4) distribution of the lesions

(5) presence of hemorrhagic skin lesions

(6) dermatomal pain in the prodromal period

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

gender

female

8

 

male

0

age

> 50 years

9

 

<= 50

0

number of lesions

>= 50

8

 

< 50

0

localization

high risk areas (cranial, sacral)

6

 

other areas

0

lesions

hemorrhagic

8

 

nonhemorrhagic

0

dermatomal pain in  the prodromal phase

present

9

 

absent

0

 

prognostic score =

= SUM(points for parameters present)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 48

 

Score

Risk of Postherpetic Neuralgia (in patients with acute pain)

Percent

0 - 9

nil

< 10%

10 - 18

small

10 - 20%

19 - 26

moderate

20 - 33%

27 - 34

marked

33 - 50%

35 - 48

high

50 - 80%å

after Figure 2, page 362


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