Description

Guessous et al developed a score for predicting the risk of an osteoporotic fracture in a postmenopausal woman. This can help to identify a woman who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from Lausanne University Hospital in Switzerland.


 

Patient selection: postmenopausal female from 70 to 85 years of age

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) stiffness index on quantitative heel ultrasonography (US)

(3) history of recent fall

(4) history of fracture

(5) chair test (ability to get up from a chair 3 times in quick succession without using her arms)

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

<= 75 years

0

 

76 to 80 years

2

 

81 to 85 years

3

stiffness index

< 60

7.5

 

60 to 78

5

 

> 78

0

history of recent fall

no

0

 

yes

1.5

history of fracture

no

0

 

yes

1

chair test

passed

0

 

failed

1

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 5 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 14

• The higher the score the greater the risk for osteoporotic fracture.

• A score => 4.5 was considered high risk for osteoporotic fracture.

 

Performance:

• The sensitivity of the score was 90% but the specificity was aournd 23% (good sensitivity, poor specificity, many false positives).

 


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