Description

Lyratzopoulos et al identified risk factors associated with emergency readmission to the hospital for a medical patient. These can help identify patients who could be targeted for closer monitoring and more aggressive management to reduce readmissions. The authors are from the North/Suffolk/Cambridgeshire Strategic Health Authority, University of Manchester, and Stockport NHS Trust in England.


 

Parameters:

(1) gender

(2) age of the patient

(3) number of significant comorbid conditions

(4) chief complaint for the admission

(5) level of deprivation

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

gender

female

0

 

male

1

age of the patient

< 60 years of age

0

 

>= 60 years of age

1

number of comorbid conditions

0 to 2

0

 

>= 3

1

chief complaint

congestive heart failure

1

 

chronic obstructive lung disease

1

 

asthma

1

 

other

0

level of deprivation

affluent

0

 

middle class

0

 

working class

1

 

deprived

1

 

where:

• As shown in Figure 1 (page 5 of 9) the risk of readmission increases with each level of deprivation. However, to simplify the analysis I combined the upper 2 and lower 2.

• Although the admission method (referral from general practitioner, emergency room admit, other) was listed in the abstract as affecting readmission, the data in Table 2 shows high p values.

• Although the abstract mentions age > 75 is associated with increased risk of readmission, the data in Table 2 and 3 indicate that the risk starts at >= 60 years.

• Although the abstract uses >= 4 comorbid conditions, the data in Table 3 indicates that 3 comorbid conditions is associated with increased risk.

 

total number of risk factors =

= SUM(points for the 5 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum number of risk factors: 0

• maximum number of risk factors: 5

• The risk of readmission increases with the number of risk factors present.

• The risk of readmission increases with the interval since discharge.

 


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