Description

Goodney et al


The authors are from Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center, University of Massachusetts, Maine Medical Center and Fletcher Allen Healthcare.

 

Patient selection: lower extremity bypass for occlusive disease

 

Outcome: 1-year mortality

 

Risk factors for 1-year mortality:

(1) congestive heart failure (odds ratio 1.3)

(2) diabetes mellitus on oral hypoglycemic (odds ratio 1.5)

(3) critical limb ischemia (odds ratio 1.7)

(4) no single-segment greater saphenous vein as conduit (odds ratio 1.9)

(5) age > 80 years (odds ratio 2.0)

(6) dialysis dependent (odds ratio 2.7)

(7) emergency procedure (odds ratio 3.4)

 

The presence of >=3 risk factors was associated with a mortality rate of 28% versus less than 5% with no risk factors.

 

The cumulative product of the odds ratios may discriminate the risk better than a simple sum of risk factors.

 


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