Description

Bonig et al identified risk factors associated with a poor outcome for a pediatric patient who has had a hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT). This can help identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management or a novel therapy. The authors are from Heinrich Heine University in Dusseldorf.


 

Patient selection: age < 19 years, within 1 year of a hematopoietic stem cell bone marrow transplant

 

Parameters:

(1) grade of graft vs host disease (GVHD)

(2) hemorrhage

(3) blood pressure

(4) C-reactive protein (CRP)

Parameter

Finding

Points

grade of GVHD

0, I or II

0

 

III or IV

1

hemorrhage

none or microscopic

0

 

macroscopic

1

blood pressure

normotensive or hypertensive

0

 

hypotension

1

C reactive protein

<= 10 mg/dL

0

 

> 10 mg/dL

1

 

where:

• The paper reports CRP in mg/dL. 10 mg/dL is equivalent to 100 mg/L, which is quite high (normal levels is < 10 mg/L).

• Hypotension was defined as a subnormal mean arterial pressure but a precise cutoff was not reported.

 

total number of risk factors for a poor outcome =

= SUM(points for all 4 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum number of risk factors: 0

• maximum number of risk factors: 4

• The higher the number of risk factors the worse the outcome.

 

Additional factors associated with a poor outcome:

(1) transplant from an unrelated donor (no long term survivors in this group)

(2) multi-organ failure

 


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