Description

Bernard et al developed a simple score for evaluating a patient with sickle cell disease in the Emergency Department. The authors are fro the University of Cincinnati and Allegheny General Hospital in Pittsburgh.


 

Patient selection: sickle cell disease

 

Outcome: adverse outcome within 96 hours (transfusion, antibiotic therapy, acute chest syndrome, aplastic crisis, sequestration crisis)

 

Parameters:

(1) sickle hemoglobin type

(2) chest pain

(3) chills

(4) pain

(5) temperature in °C

(6) oxygen saturation in percent

(7) hemoglobin in g/dL

(8) nitrites in urinalysis

(9) chest X-ray

Parameters

Findings

Points

sickle hemoglobin

sickling variant (SS, SC, other)

1

 

non-sickling (sickle-thalassemia, possibly AS)

0

 

unknown

1

chest pain

absent

0

 

present

1

chills

absent

0

 

present

1

pain

absent or similar to previous episodes

0

 

not similar to previous episodes

1

temperature

36 to 38°C

0

 

< 36 or > 38°C

1

oxygen saturation

>= 95%

0

 

< 95%

1

hemoglobin

>= 10 g/dL

0

 

< 10 g/dL

1

nitrites

absent

0

 

present

1

chest X-ray

normal

0

 

abnormal

1

 

where:

• Nitrites in urinalysis would seem to indicate a urinary tract infection.

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 9 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 9

• A score > 4 was considered at risk.

 

Performance:

• A score > 4 had an overall accuracy of 83% with sensitivity of 49% and specificity of 95%

• The positive predictive value (78%) exceeded physician judgment (63%) while the negative predictive value (84%) was not as good as physician judgment (91%).

• The area under the ROC curve was about 0.82.

 


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