Description

The prognosis in patients with HIV infection and Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia can be estimated from a prognostic severity score. Early identification of patients with a poor prognosis can allow for either more aggressive therapy or use of innovative strategies.


 

Parameters:

(1) alveolar-arterial oxygen tension difference in mm Hg on room air (FIO2 21%)

(2) serum LDH as multiple of upper limit to the reference range

(3) percent neutrophils in the broncho-alveolar lavage (BAL)

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

alveolar-arterial oxygen tension difference in mm Hg, P(A-a)O2

<= 20

0

 

21 - 30

1

 

31 - 40

2

 

41 - 50

3

 

51 - 60

4

 

> 60

5

LDH

normal

0

 

> normal to 2 * (normal)

1

 

> 2 * (normal) to 3 * (normal)

2

 

> 3 * (normal)

3

percent neutrophils in broncho-alveolar lavage (BAL)

<= 2%

0

 

3 - 5%

1

 

6 - 10%

2

 

11 - 15%

3

 

16 - 20%

4

 

> 20%

5

 

where:

• The alveolar oxygen tension can be estimated from the percent inspired oxygen and PaCO2 by the following equation as described in the Pulmonary chapter:

PAO2 = (7 * (FIO2 as number from 21 to 100)) - (1.25 * (PaCO2 in mm Hg))

 

PCP severity score =

= (points for oxygen difference) + (points for LDH) + (points for percent neutrophils)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 13

• Outcome is death within 14 days after bronchoscopy or survival.

 

PCP severity score

survival

death

< 7

100%

0%

7

33%

67%

> 7

0%

100%

 


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