Description

Ghobrial et al developed prognostic models for a newly diagnosed patient who is symptomatic for Waldenstrom's macroglobulinemia. These can help identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from the Mayo Clinic at Scottsdale, Arizona.


 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) organomegaly (liver and/or spleen)

(3) serum beta-2 microglobulin in mg/L

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

<= 65 years of age

0

 

> 65 years of age

1

organomegaly

absent

0

 

present

1

serum beta-2 microglobulin

< 4 mg/L

0

 

>= 4 mg/L

1

 

2-item model =

= (points for age) + (points for organomegaly)

 

3-item model =

= (points for age) + (points for organomegaly) + (points for beta-2 microglobulin)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score for both models: 0

• maximum score for 2-item model: 2

• maximum score for 3-item model: 3

• The higher the score the worse the prognosis.

Two-Item Score

Risk Group

Median Survival

0

low

10.6 years

1 or 2

high

4.2 years

 

 

Three-Item Score

Risk Group

Median Survival

0

low

12 years

1

intermediate

7 years

2 or 3

high

2.2 years

from Figure 4, page 162

 


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