Description

Hersch et al identified predictors of mortality for a patient on an internal medicine ward who is mechanically ventilated. These can help to identify patients who may or may not benefit from more aggressive management when the patient cannot be admitted to the ICU. The authors are from Shaare Zedek Medical Center and Hebrew University Medical School - Hadassah in Israel.


 

Patient selection: adults on an internal medicine ward (non-ICU) receiving mechanical ventilation

 

The most important predictor of mortality was the acute physiology score (APS) of the APACHE II score (30.02.01) on the day of intubation (within 24 hours).

APS on Day of Intubation

Mortality Rate

> 90

10 times higher

> 80

5 times higher

 

Additional factors associated with increased mortality:

(1) low serum albumin (median 2.98 g/dL in survivors, 2.57 in nonsurvivors)

(2) older age

(3) hypotension (mean arterial blood pressure <= 64 mm Hg)

(4) deterioriation in renal function at 72 hours after intubation

(5) intubation for a non-cardiac cause

(6) elevated total serum bilirubin

 

Limitations:

• Some patients may have been treated on the wards because space was not available in the ICU.

• Some patients may have been treated on the wards because they were terminally-ill and ICU admission was not considered appropriate.

• Several of the risk factors reflect multi-organ failures.

 


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