Description

Sugihara et al developed a nomogram to identify a patient at risk for severe complications after ureteroscopic lithotripsy. These can help to identify patients who may benefit from alternative or more aggressive management. The authors are from multiple universities in Japan.


 

Patient selection: ureteroscopic lithotripsy

 

Outcome: severe adverse effects (in-hospital mortality, surgical or medical therapy required to manage complications)

 

Parameters:

(1) gender

(2) age in years

(3) Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI)

(4) type of anesthesia

(5) duration of operation in minutes

(6) hospital volume for ureteroscopic lithotripsy per year

(7) type of admission

Parameter

Finding

Points

gender

male

0

 

female

24.2

age in years

<= 59 years

0

 

50 to 69 years

19.2

 

70 to 79 years

20.9

 

>= 80 years

51.3

CCI

0

0

 

1

20.3

 

2

39.8

 

>= 3

56.3

type of anesthesia

spinal or epidural

0

 

general

22.7

operation time

< 60 minutes

0

 

60 to 89 minutes

25.8

 

90 to 119 minutes

31.5

 

120 to 149 minutes

55.5

 

150 to 179 minutes

60.3

 

180 to 209 minutes

73.4

 

>= 210 minutes

100

hospital volume

<= 15

31.3

 

16 to 38

14.8

 

>= 39

0

type of admission

elective

0

 

emergency without ambulance transfer

39.8

 

emergency with ambulance transfer

70.7

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 7 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: > 300

• The higher the score the more likely there will be a severe adverse event.

 

Score

Probability of a Severe Adverse Event

< 43

< 1%

43 to 232

(0.000328 * ((points)^2)) - (0.02869 * (points)) + 1.708

232 to 264

(0.1787 * (points)) - 27.38

> 264

> 20%

 


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