Frost et al developed a nomogram for predicting an unplanned admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) for a patient following an emergency hospital admission. The authors are from Liverpool Hospital, University of Western Sydney, University of New South Wales and Curtin University of Technology in Australia.
Patient selection: adult 20 to 70 years of age with an emergency admission to the hospital
Parameters:
(1) age in years
(2) gender
(3) triage category
(4) acute renal failure
(5) lymphatic-hemopoietic disorder
(6) chronic airways disease
(7) sepsis
(8) pneumonia
(9) pancreatitis
(10) bowel obstruction
(11) peripheral vascular disease
(12) dementia
(13) connective tissue disease
(14) liver disease
(15) renal disease (other than acute renal failure)
Age of the Patient |
Points |
15 to 45 years |
(0.455 * (age)) - 6.675 |
45 to 70 years |
(-0.006869 * ((age)^2)) + (0.9712 * (age)) - 16.11 |
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
gender |
female |
0 |
|
male |
2.5 |
triage category |
non-urgent |
0 |
|
semi-urgent |
0 |
|
urgent |
5.2 |
|
emergency |
7.5 |
|
resuscitation |
16.6 |
acute renal failure |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
6.5 |
lymphatic-hematopoietic |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
20 |
chronic airways disease |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
5 |
sepsis |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
7.3 |
pneumonia |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
5.4 |
pancreatitis |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
11.1 |
bowel obstruction |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
13.1 |
peripheral vascular disease |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
1.6 |
dementia |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
3.5 |
connective tissue disease |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
2.3 |
liver disease |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
3.1 |
renal disease |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
3.1 |
total score =
= SUM(points for all 15 parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: > 100
• The higher the score the more likely that the patient will have an unplanned admission to the ICU.
Points |
Percent with Unplanned ICU Admission |
< 23.9 |
< 1% |
23.9 to 58.7 |
(0.0182 * ((points)^2)) - (0.9794 * (points)) + 14.4 |
> 58.7 |
> 20% |
Specialty: Critical Care, Emergency Medicine
ICD-10: ,