Description

Marquez-Gonzalez et al developed a score to predict mortality for a critically-ill neonate. This is based on 9 variables and is referred to as the Neonatal Mortality Score-9 Mexico or EMN-9 Mex. The authors are from multiple neontatal units in Mexico.


Patient selection: critically-ill neonate

 

Outcome: mortality

 

Parameters:

(1) Apgar score at 5 minutes

(2) birthweight in grams

(3) blood gases

(4) blood lactate in mmol/L

(5) PaO2 to FIO2 ratio

(6) P(A-a)O2 in mm Hg

(7) a/A ratio (arterial to alveolar oxygen tension ratio, or PaO2/PAO2)

(8) platelet count per µL

(9) serum glucose in mg/dL

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

Apgar score at 5 minutes

9 or 10

0

 

7 or 8

1

 

<= 6

2

birthweight in grams

>=2,500 grams

0

 

1,500 to 2,499 grams

1

 

< 1,500 grams

2

blood gases

normal

0

 

metabolic acidosis

1

 

metabolic acidosis and anion gap >= 15 mmol/L

2

blood lactate

<= 1 mmol/L

0

 

1.1 to 3.9 mmol/L

1

 

>= 4.0 mmol/L

2

PaO2 to FIO2 ratio

>= 350 mm Hg

0

 

200 to 349 mm Hg

1

 

< 200 mm Hg

2

P(A-a)O2

<= 100 mm Hg

0

 

101 to 299 mm Hg

1

 

>= 300 mm Hg

2

a/A ratio

>= 0.6

0

 

0.26 to 0.59

1

 

<= 0.25

2

platelet count

>= 150,000 per µL

0

 

50,001 to 149,999 per µL

1

 

<= 50,000 per µL

2

serum glucose

<= 126 mg/dL

0

 

127 to 200 mg/dL

1

 

> 200 mg/dL

2

 

where:

• The paper uses the A/a ratio but the a/A ratio is used in textbooks.

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 9 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 18

• The greater the score the greater the risk for mortality.

 

Score

Positive Likelihood Ratio

<= 7

0.08

8 to 11

0.21

12 to 15

1.9

16 to 19

10

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve for a cutoff >= 16 was 0.95.


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