Description

Kantarjian et al developed a model for predicting the chances that a patient with Philadelphia-chromosome positive chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) in the chronic phase. The authors are from the MD Anderson Cancer Center at the University of Texas Houston.


 

Criteria for complete cytogenetic response: 0% Ph chromosome positive by standard cytogenetic analysis (not FISH)

 

Parameters:

(1) percent of cells positive for Philadelphia chromosome at start of therapy

(2) platelet count at start of therapy

Parameter

Finding

Points

percent of cells positive for Philadelphia chromosome

<= 90%

0

 

> 90%

1

platelet count

<= 450,000 per µL

0

 

> 450,000 per µL

1

 

risk score =

= SUM(points for both parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 2

• The higher the score the less likely that the patient will have a complete cytogenetic response.

 

Risk Score

Risk Group

Complete Cyto-genetic Response

Survival at 4 Years

0

good

94%

94%

1

fair (intermediate)

58%

88%

2

poor

39%

73%

 


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