Description

Kellett et al developed the HOTEL score for identifying a patient with a high mortality rate following admission to an acute medical unit of the hospital. These can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from Nenagh Hospital in County Tipperary, Ireland.


Patient selection: 14 years old or older, acutely ill but not moribund (dead within 15 minutes)

 

Outcome: death from 15 minutes to 24 hours after admission

 

Parameters:

H: hypotension

O: oxygen saturation

T: low temperature

E: EEG abnormalities

L: loss of function

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

systolic blood pressure

>= 100 mm Hg

0

 

< 100 mm Hg

1

oxygen saturation

>= 90%

0

 

< 90%

1

body temperature

>= 35°C

0

 

< 35°C

1

EEG

normal

0

 

abnormal

1

loss of function

able to stand unaided

0

 

unable to stand unaided

1

 

HOTEL score =

= SUM(points for all 5 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 5

• The higher the score the higher the early mortality rate.

 

Score

Mortality Rate

0

0

1

0.3%

2

1-2%

3 or more

6-10%

 

The authors found that a normal EEG was a "powerful predictor of survival".

 

Sum of HOTEL

EEG

Mortality Rate

0

normal

0%

0

abnormal

0.3%

1

normal

0.3%

1

abnormal

1.2%

2 to 4

normal

1.2%

2 to 4

abnormal

9%

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve was 86.5% for the derivation cohort and 85.4% for the validation cohort.


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