Trussell et al compiled data for the probability of conception if unprotected intercourse occurs on a given day of the menstrual cycle relative to the day of ovulation. The authors are from Princeton University and the Population Council of New York.
Day of Cycle |
Probability of Any Conception |
Probability of Recognizable Conception |
-6 or earlier |
< 1% |
< 1% |
-5 |
4% |
4% |
-4 |
16% |
14% |
-3 |
19% |
16% |
-2 |
26% |
28% |
-1 |
31% |
30% |
0 (day of ovulation) |
22% |
12% |
+1 |
5% |
5% |
+ 2 or later |
< 1% |
< 1% |
from Table 2, page 366.
where:
• There are different ways to identify the day of ovulation.
• The data assumes only 1 episode of unprotected intercourse.
• The populations were English and American. The results could vary in different racial groups.
Specialty: Obstetrics & Gynecology
ICD-10: ,