Description

A numerical index can be used to identify those patients presenting with Hodgkin's disease who may be in a poor prognostic group with progressive disease. This may help determine if more aggressive therapy is required.


 

Parameters:

(1) clinical stage by the Ann Arbor classification

(2) age

(3) absolute lymphocyte count

(4) hemoglobin in g/dL

Parameter

Finding

Value

clinical stage according to Ann Arbor classification

IA, IIA, IIIA

1

 

IB, IIB

2

 

IIIB

3

 

IV

4

absolute lymphocyte count per liter

< 1.0 * 10^9

1

 

1.0 - 1.5 * 10^9

2

 

1.5 - 2.0 * 10^9

3

 

> 2.0 * 10^9

4

 

where:

• "B" symptoms include one or more of the following: unexplained weight loss of > 10% of the body weight in the 6 months prior to diagnosis, unexplained fever > 38°C, drenching night sweats; pruritis may be used as a defining symptom if it is recurrent, generalized, otherwise unexplained, and has an intensity that parallels disease activity.

• If a person does not have "B" symptoms, then they are classed as "A".

 

index =

= 1.5858 - (0.0363 * (age)) + (0.0005 * ((age) ^2)) + (0.0683 * (value for clinical stage)) - (0.086 * (value for lymphocyte count)) - (0.0587 * (hemoglobin in g/dL))

 

NOTE: In the 1992 version of the equation, 0.3 is added to the index if bulk disease (tumor > 10 cm) is present.

 

Interpretation:

• Patients with index scores > 0.5 have a poor prognosis when compared to those with index scores <= 0.5.

• 4 year survival in poor prognosis group was about 30%, vs 75-85% in those not in poor prognosis group.

 


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